London: Crude oil value ready to fall under half where it was six months ago, ahead of producers start trade with a global surplus. Brent, the global benchmark, will fall to as low as $50 a barrel in 2015.
according to the median in a Bloomberg survey on Monday of 17 analysts, down from the $115.71 a barrel high for the year on 19 June. The grade has already collapsed 47% since then and needs to fall further before producers clear the current glut, said five out of six respondents who gave a reason. Brent futures sank to a five-year low on Monday, two weeks after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) decided to maintain output even as the highest US production in three decades swells a global surplus. The organization will stand by its decision even if prices fall to $40, United Arab Emirates (UAE) energy minister Suhail Al-Mazrouei said the day before. “This won’t stop until oil producers are on their backs,” Bjarne Schieldrop, chief commodities analyst at SEB AB, Sweden’s fourth-biggest bank, said by phone from Oslo on Monday. “There will be better demand in the second half, hopefully some demand effects from lower prices, and definitely softer growth in US shale.” Brent futures slipped 79 cents, or 1.3%, to end at $61.06 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. It was the lowest close since July 2009. Negative effect The group decided at the 27 November meeting to keep output unchanged to protect Opec’s market share, even if it has a negative effect on crude prices, the official Kuwait News Agency reported, citing oil minister Ali al-Omair. The US pumped 9.12 million barrels a day in the period ended 5 December, the most in weekly Energy Information Administration (EIA) started in 1983. The gain came as horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing unlocked supplies from shale formations including the Eagle Ford in Texas and the Bakken in North Dakota. Some respondents project the floor may be close to current levels. Drilling activity in the US is showing some signs of slowing, which may grow as financing becomes more difficult, according to Saxo Bank A/S in Copenhagen. Output in some Opec members outside the Persian Gulf will suffer before US shale drillers curb operations, consultant Petromatrix GmbH predicts. “Opec has scored an own-goal,” Olivier Jakob, Petromatrix’s managing director, said by e-mail. “Non-Gulf Opec countries will participate against their will in the supply re- balancing of 2015. Venezuela will fall before the Bakken does.” Reuters
shanghai shares start week with losses 25 june 2018
Hong Kong, (UrduPoint / Pakistan Point News - 25th Jun, 2018 ) :Hong Kong and mainland Chinese stocks fell on...
