ANKARA: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) cut Turkey’s growth forecast from 3.4 percent to 3.1 percent for 2015 while upgrading its growth forecast for 2016 from 3.4 percent to 3.6 percent.
However, in another report released in February, the IMF had upgraded Turkey’s growth forecast from 3 percent to 3.4 percent in 2015 while decreasing its forecast from 3.7 percent to 3.4 percent for 2016.
IMF chief economist Olivier Blanchard said that global economic growth will be “moderate and uneven” in 2015 amid a pickup in rich countries and a slowdown in emerging markets and developing economies. The Washington-based crisis lender forecasts a global expansion of 3.5 percent this year, compared to 3.4 percent in 2014.
In recent months, the crash in oil prices and large swing in exchange rates among major currencies has contributed to an “unusually complex set of forces shaping the world economy,” Blanchard said.
Legacies from both the financial and the euro crises are still visible in many advanced economies,” he said. “To varying degrees, weak banks and high levels of debt – public, corporate, or household – still weigh on spending and growth. Low growth, in turn, makes deleveraging a slow process.”
IMF cuts forecast for US economy, upgrades Europe and Japan
The International Monetary Fund, citing the consequences of a strong dollar, is downgrading its outlook for the U.S. economy but raising its forecast for Europe and Japan.
The IMF predicted Tuesday that the American economy will grow 3.1 percent this year and next a performance the fund characterized as “robust.” But the U.S. outlook was down from the IMF’s January forecast of 3.6 percent growth in 2015 and 3.3 percent growth in 2016. The American economy advanced 2.4 percent last year.
The IMF forecast that the 18 European countries that use the euro currency collectively will expand 1.5 percent in 2015 and 1.6 percent in 2016, up from a January forecast of 1.2 percent growth this year and 1.4 percent next. The eurozone grew just 0.9 percent last year.
The fund expects Japan to grow 1 percent this year and 1.2 percent next year, versus an earlier forecast of 0.6 percent this year and 0.8 percent in 2016. The Japanese economy shrank 0.1 percent in 2014.
The IMF expects the world economy to grow 3.5 percent in 2015, barely up from 3.4 percent last year and unchanged for its January forecast. It raised the outlook for global economic growth in 2016 to 3.8 percent, up from a January forecast of 3.7 percent.
